Какая-то неразбериха с ORBCOMM FM 115 - NORAD 41186. Сход на
http://www.satflare.com/track.asp?q=41186&sid=2#PASS прогнозируется 25 февраля? Скрин во вложении. При орбите 604 x 606 км, 47,0° (По состоянию на: февраля 23) согласно heavens-above и calsky.com.
В следующем месяце ожидается падение целого ряда крупных объектов:
Cosmos 2503 r (SL-4 R/B) USSPACECOM Nr:
40421 Internat. Designator: 2015-009B
Name: Cosmos 2503 Rocket
Decays: 1 Mar 2016 13:26 UTC (predicted) Brightness: 4.7 mag (at 1000 km, 50% illuminated) -0.5 mag (at perigee, full illumination)
Very routh mean magn. from radar obs.
RCS: 8.73m2 (Radar cross section)
SICH 2 r DbK (SL-24 DEB) USSPACECOM Nr:
37797 Internat. Designator: 2011-044K
Name: SICH 2 Rocket DbK Debris
Decays: 3 Mar 2016 19:37 UTC (predicted)
Dimensions: 2 m x 2 m, cylindrical Brightness: 6.5 mag (at 1000 km, 50% illuminated)
1.7 mag (at perigee, full illumination) Mean magnitude estimated from object size
RCS: 2.3m2 (Radar cross section)
Yaogan 10 LM r (CZ-4C R/B) USSPACECOM Nr:
36835 Internat. Designator: 2010-038B
Name: Yaogan 10 LM Rocket
Decays: 10 Mar 2016 (predicted)
Dimensions: 5 m x 2.5 m, cylindrical
Brightness: 4.5 mag (at 1000 km, 50% illuminated) -0.7 mag (at perigee, full illumination)Mean magnitude estimated from object size
RCS: 9.2m2 (Radar cross section)
Zi Yuan-2A USSPACECOM Nr:
26481 Internat. Designator: 2000-050A
Name: Zi Yuan-2A
Decays: 13 Mar 2016 (predicted)
Dimensions: 4 m x 2 m, cylindrical Brightness: 5.5 mag (at 1000 km, 50% illuminated) 0.0 mag (at perigee, full illumination)Mean magnitude from visual observations
RCS: 5.9m2 (Radar cross section)
SL-4 R/B (VOLGA R/B) USSPACECOM Nr:
41100 Internat. Designator: 2015-071C
Name: SL-4 Rocket
Decays: 17 Mar 2016 (predicted)
Brightness: 4.7 mag (at 1000 km, 50% illuminated) -0.8 mag (at perigee, full illumination)Very routh mean magn. from radar obs.
RCS: 8.73m2 (Radar cross section)
UFO F2 Cn r (UFO 2 Rocket1) Особо крупный USSPACECOM Nr:
22788 Internat. Designator: 1993-056B К сожалению, с наших широт не увидеть.
Name: UFO F2 Cn Rocket
Decays: 17 Mar 2016 (predicted)
Dimensions: 8 m x 3 m, cylindrical
Brightness: 3.5 mag (at 1000 km, 50% illuminated) -1.6 mag (at perigee, full illumination) Mean magnitude from visual observations
RCS: 18m2 (Radar cross section)
Kuaizhou 2 - небольшой, судя по всему USSPACECOM Nr:
40311 Internat. Designator: 2014-073A
Name: Kuaizhou 2
Decays: 24 Mar 2016 (predicted)
Brightness: Standard magnitude is unknown 6.5 mag (at 1000 km, 50% illuminated)
Источник:
https://www.calsky.com/cs.cgi/Satellites/15?obs=86050769833764 - желательно для своей местности произвести настройки.